Faisal Islam: Trump’s tough tariff tactics are getting results

During his presidency, Donald Trump’s approach to international trade marked a dramatic departure from the multilateral consensus that had guided U.S. policy for decades. Rejecting long-standing trade norms, Trump implemented a confrontational strategy rooted in the use of punitive tariffs, particularly targeting major economies such as China and traditional allies in Europe and North America. While controversial, these actions sparked a global conversation about fairness in trade and the effectiveness of protectionist policies—and, arguably, produced tangible outcomes.

At the heart of Trump’s trade philosophy was a belief that the United States had been taken advantage of in previous trade agreements, resulting in persistent deficits, weakened industries, and job losses in key sectors like steel, aluminum, and manufacturing. To counter this, his administration imposed a wave of tariffs on imported goods, especially from countries with whom the U.S. had significant trade imbalances.

A major development was the increase in tariffs against China. During 2018 and 2019, the Trump administration imposed tariffs on a vast array of Chinese products, referencing issues such as intellectual property violations, coerced technology transfers, and inequitable trade practices. In turn, China responded with tariffs on American products, igniting a trade conflict that sent shockwaves through international markets.

Despite fears of economic fallout, Trump maintained that the strategy was working. By applying economic pressure, the administration sought to bring China to the negotiating table—and it eventually did. The result was the “Phase One” trade agreement signed in January 2020, in which China agreed to increase purchases of American agricultural products, bolster intellectual property protections, and open parts of its financial sector to foreign competition. While critics argued the deal fell short of systemic change, it was seen by supporters as proof that tariff pressure could yield concessions from one of the world’s largest economies.

Apart from China, the government also utilized tariffs as a negotiation tool with other significant trade partners. For instance, facing the possibility of car tariffs, the U.S. encouraged the European Union to engage in discussions to alter trade conditions. Likewise, in North America, Trump applied tariff threats on Canadian and Mexican products to revise the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), leading to the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). The revised agreement encompassed enhanced labor conditions, environmental requirements, and digital trade rules—changes the administration highlighted as successes for American employees and companies.

Trump’s use of tariffs as a negotiating tool was not universally praised. Economists warned that such actions risked disrupting global supply chains, increasing costs for American consumers and businesses, and undermining international cooperation. Some sectors hit by retaliatory tariffs, particularly agriculture, experienced significant financial strain, prompting the administration to issue billions of dollars in aid to affected farmers.

However, despite the criticism, there were indications that the approach had tangible results. Some sectors experienced a short-term increase, and the simple prospect of tariffs frequently encouraged trade partners to enter negotiations more earnestly. This method questioned longstanding beliefs in international economics regarding the boundaries of individual action. For many years, economists and decision-makers predominantly supported free trade and resolving disagreements through multiple nations via entities such as the World Trade Organization (WTO). The Trump administration dismissed this conventional wisdom, opting to proceed independently, prioritizing forcefulness over diplomatic strategies.

The results were mixed but significant. While the trade deficit did not disappear, it narrowed in some sectors. The conversation around reshoring manufacturing and reducing dependence on foreign supply chains, especially from geopolitical rivals, gained momentum—not only in the U.S. but globally. Countries began reevaluating their economic vulnerabilities and considering how to insulate themselves from similar trade shocks in the future.

Advocates of Trump’s strategy highlight these changes as proof that strategically applied tariffs can recalibrate economic partnerships. They assert that prior administrations were overly cautious, depending on lengthy talks and international organizations that did not achieve prompt outcomes. In their view, a more assertive approach was necessary for some time.

Nevertheless, commentators point out the economic instability that came with the trade conflicts. They observe that although certain industries gained, others—especially those dependent on intricate global supply networks—experienced increased input expenses and unpredictability. The enduring consequences of these policies continue to be discussed, particularly considering the wider economic upheavals brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic during the last year of Trump’s administration.

However, the larger impact of Trump’s tariff strategy is evident in its effect on the global trade dialogue. It compelled decision-makers, corporations, and analysts to reevaluate beliefs about global markets, national priorities, and government involvement in the economy. The idea of “economic nationalism,” previously viewed as marginal, entered the mainstream, altering nations’ perspectives on trade and production sovereignty.

Even as the Biden administration has shifted tone and style, many of the tariffs imposed under Trump remain in place. This continuity suggests that, despite initial controversy, some elements of his approach have been absorbed into the fabric of American trade policy. Ongoing tensions with China, efforts to strengthen domestic industry, and skepticism toward large-scale multilateral agreements reflect a changed landscape in which protectionist tools are now part of the conversation.

Looking back, Trump’s approach to tariffs can be considered both unsettling and impactful. Although it put a strain on alliances and caused market instability, it also highlighted structural discrepancies and spurred fresh perspectives on trade fairness. Whether regarded as practical realism or excessive intervention, the outcomes of these strategies continue to affect global trade, diplomatic ties, and political discussions at home.

In this period of global economic unpredictability and geopolitical rivalry, Trump’s trade policy continues to serve as a notable, albeit contentious and unorthodox, point of influence.